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. >> i hear the polls have romney up by 67 points today. i think hysteria is a good word and i like andrew sullivan as much as the next conservative -- not conservative pundit he claims to be. i do think -- you know, in politics you can never extrap plate from a given point. everything is trend lines one way or the other direction. that was a bad night for the president and anybody who wants him to win. but it's not the last point we're going to see on the graph here. we're going to see, you know, two more debates, we're going to see more speeches, may see oscar the grouch get involved, who knows. but so, you know, plenty of time. if mitt romney, you know, could survive three bad weeks after the 47% video, the president can survive a bad debate performance and after the next one, whatever happened in the first time, won't matter. he may not -- he may do worse, may do better but won't matter anymore after the next two debates. >> also, to your point about graphs there is a an interesting graph in t"the new york times" when incumbents win and
. >> i hear the polls have romney up by 67 points today. i think hysteria is a good word and i like andrew sullivan as much as the next conservative -- not conservative pundit he claims to be. i do think -- you know, in politics you can never extrap plate from a given point. everything is trend lines one way or the other direction. that was a bad night for the president and anybody who wants him to win. but it's not the last point we're going to see on the graph here. we're going to see,...
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Sep 19, 2012
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and while this is a bad poll for mitt romney, there is one silver lining. republican voters continue to express more interest and intensity than democratic voters. 80% of republicans call themselves a nine or ten when describing their interest level in this election on a scale of one to ten. it is a nine-point advantage over democrats collectively. it is a change from four years ago and it could be a factor on election day if republicans are more motivated to vote. it can make up one, two, maybe even three points in what you see in some of these polls. >>> this republican enthusiasm advantage though is critical and romney can't afford for his campaign missteps to dampen that fer vvor that is in his base. it explains how aggressive he was yesterday, not just in owning his closed door comments but in pushing back on the president. cameras were allowed into romney's fund-raisers for the first time yesterday and last night in texas he pushed the line the campaign promises we'll hear from him again today on the trail and which the campaign is pushing out in a me
and while this is a bad poll for mitt romney, there is one silver lining. republican voters continue to express more interest and intensity than democratic voters. 80% of republicans call themselves a nine or ten when describing their interest level in this election on a scale of one to ten. it is a nine-point advantage over democrats collectively. it is a change from four years ago and it could be a factor on election day if republicans are more motivated to vote. it can make up one, two,...
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now the battleground polls are out telling us whether mitt romney's comments ruffled any feathers among voters. according to our latest nbc poll obama holds a one point lead. ohio the gap is down to six. in virginia it's slipped for one to obama and up one for romney. the president is still ahead but nationally mitt romney has actually taken the lead. ten days ago obama head a four point lead in that average. today mitt romney leads by more than a point. but when you look at just the swing states, president obama is leading almost every one of them albeit by a reduced margin. these are numbers just from the last states. let's put them through the spin cycle. guys, all of this raises an interesting possibility that i have resisted and that political science tells us shouldn't be happening. political science says generally speaking if there's movement nationally, there will be similar movement in the swing states. if there's movement in swing states will be mirrored in other states. mitt romney has not pulled ahead in swing states. look at a state like ohio, virginia, iowa, new hampshire,
now the battleground polls are out telling us whether mitt romney's comments ruffled any feathers among voters. according to our latest nbc poll obama holds a one point lead. ohio the gap is down to six. in virginia it's slipped for one to obama and up one for romney. the president is still ahead but nationally mitt romney has actually taken the lead. ten days ago obama head a four point lead in that average. today mitt romney leads by more than a point. but when you look at just the swing...
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romney seems to have searched national polls than battlegrounds. i think this something i want to keep tracking. i think it's -- it's a little piece of evidence right now and it's been something that you know the president is stronger in battle grounds than any other states. how much of romney's bump is in the other 41 states, if you will? and in the national polls and where in the battlegrounds maybe everything was fought to a draw? that's something that has to be a keconcern to the romney team. >> chris cillizza, when we looked at the narrowing in the battleground polls, especially virginia, we're seeing an impact there also in a very important senate race because there had been an advantage for tim kaine over george alan there, as the president at the top of the ticket was pulling ahead but now that it's narrowed they are dead even. >> yeah. i think virginia's the one to look at in terms of down ballot effect, because we expect that race between tim kaine and george alan to be so close. i say if barack obama win virginia i'd been hard pressed to
romney seems to have searched national polls than battlegrounds. i think this something i want to keep tracking. i think it's -- it's a little piece of evidence right now and it's been something that you know the president is stronger in battle grounds than any other states. how much of romney's bump is in the other 41 states, if you will? and in the national polls and where in the battlegrounds maybe everything was fought to a draw? that's something that has to be a keconcern to the romney...
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a new poll today shows mitt romney makes gains in three key swing states. romney flips the script in virginia, now leading by one point. the fight for florida is a statistical dead heat. and romney has narrowed the gap this ohio, although the buckeye state, what every republican needs to win the white house, is still solidly in obama's corner. >> this is the conversation we were having before both conventions. so almost as everything has been erased. >> i think it accounts for the hemorrhaging that they let romney back in. >> joining me now is ed schultz host of the ed show. and let's start with this. congressman ryan as well as the chairman both trying to set the stage for tonight. let's listen. >> joe biden's been on will stage many times before. this is my first time. so, sure, it's a nervous situation. because joe biden is one of the most experienced debaters we have in modern politics. >> this is miss firhis first ti. joe biden's been doing this since the 1800s. he'll do a solid job. >> so when you listen to this, the base was pretty upset last night.
a new poll today shows mitt romney makes gains in three key swing states. romney flips the script in virginia, now leading by one point. the fight for florida is a statistical dead heat. and romney has narrowed the gap this ohio, although the buckeye state, what every republican needs to win the white house, is still solidly in obama's corner. >> this is the conversation we were having before both conventions. so almost as everything has been erased. >> i think it accounts for the...
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mitt romney has seen all the polling numbers move in the direction. i don't think we know that in complete verdict where this race is. a lot of democrats are bracing for a close race a few months ago and they're bracing for one now. >> mark murray, thank you very much. you'll join us as at the half hour mark. let's bring in the "news nation" political panel. with us from afar is steve deyse a nationally syndicated radio talk show host. we allowed you to come with a regular camera and not skype. so you have some edge up here. let's start off with michael. one of the polls is pennsylvania as well. the president is up, but i believe now about three points. that is your home state. mark murray and they like to look at state-by-state battleground polls over the national polls so many get caught up in day to day. what's your read, mike condechm? >> it's not the swing state it's cracked up to be. i will believe that it's a true swing state, tamron, when i turn on my own television at home and be inundated with commercials. right now that's just not the case,
mitt romney has seen all the polling numbers move in the direction. i don't think we know that in complete verdict where this race is. a lot of democrats are bracing for a close race a few months ago and they're bracing for one now. >> mark murray, thank you very much. you'll join us as at the half hour mark. let's bring in the "news nation" political panel. with us from afar is steve deyse a nationally syndicated radio talk show host. we allowed you to come with a regular...
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governor, it's a pleasure having you on here. >> it's great to be here. >> our new polls show romney gaining. president obama is leading. six point lead versus an eight point lead after the debate. you see the numbers, 51/45. >> yes, but i'll take it. 51, that's over 50%. if you get over 50%, you're going to win. so i'll take 51/45 any time. >> so you're predicting a win in ohio for president obama? >> ohio's going to be strong for the president. i think other battleground states are going to be strong as well. >> particularly in ohio, no other republican candidate has won the white house without the state. it was just last week where they were trying to come up with a strategy for winning the white house without ohio. they've hunkered down and added more staff. it seems to be an interesting argument at this point or what argument is governor romney going to make when you look at the economic recovery, when you look at the wings, if you will, or the spider web benefits of the auto bailout. >> absolutely. >> what is the argument that's keeping governor romney in the game in ohio? is i
governor, it's a pleasure having you on here. >> it's great to be here. >> our new polls show romney gaining. president obama is leading. six point lead versus an eight point lead after the debate. you see the numbers, 51/45. >> yes, but i'll take it. 51, that's over 50%. if you get over 50%, you're going to win. so i'll take 51/45 any time. >> so you're predicting a win in ohio for president obama? >> ohio's going to be strong for the president. i think other...
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. >> the poll numbers for romney and ryan soaring after the first presidential debate. democrats openly counting on joe biden tonight to stop that republican momentum. >> osama bin laden is dead and general motors is arrive. >> the 2012 vice presidential debate starts right now. >>> happy debate night, everybody. the best television series of 2011 was the republican primary debates. there were 1 million of them. they played to huge audiences week after week and never disappointed. now it is october 2012 and the most compelling thing on television anywhere in the country is once again the debates. only now there are only two candidates at a time and the stakes are way higher. i'm rachel maddow. here on our msnbc headquarters in new york. i'm joined by ed schultz, reverend al sharpton, chris hayes, steve schmidt. lawrence o'donnell is our man in the spin room tonight. the one and only chris matthews is at centre college in danville, kentucky, the site of tonight's debate. chris, is this unusually high stakes for a vice presidential debate? >> well, it's great being with y
. >> the poll numbers for romney and ryan soaring after the first presidential debate. democrats openly counting on joe biden tonight to stop that republican momentum. >> osama bin laden is dead and general motors is arrive. >> the 2012 vice presidential debate starts right now. >>> happy debate night, everybody. the best television series of 2011 was the republican primary debates. there were 1 million of them. they played to huge audiences week after week and never...
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. ♪ >>> the new poll found that only 47% of voters find mitt romney to be trustworthy. then rom neez was like i hope it's not the same 47% i don't care about. that would be a bummer. >> tonight, jimmy welcomes selma high yak. that's "late night with jimmy fallon" on your local nbc station. let's go to entertainment news. here is what you can expect. ben affleck stars in "argo" about an iran hostage crisis. the family comedy, "here comes the boom" stars kevin james. it is tracking in the $10 million to $15 million range. the supernatural horror pick starring ethan hawk. now here is a list you don't want to end up on, california's tax boards. celine dionne and steven segal owe the most in unpaid taxes. segal owes nearly $350,000. >>> finally, music talent must run in the family. this is my favorite. according to ancestry.com justin bieber is a distant cousin of ry ry ryan gosling. this dates back to the earliest settlers. i would love to be a part of that. if there's an extra seat at the table. >> i'm lynn berry, this is "first look" on msnbc. be sure to stay tuned. way t
. ♪ >>> the new poll found that only 47% of voters find mitt romney to be trustworthy. then rom neez was like i hope it's not the same 47% i don't care about. that would be a bummer. >> tonight, jimmy welcomes selma high yak. that's "late night with jimmy fallon" on your local nbc station. let's go to entertainment news. here is what you can expect. ben affleck stars in "argo" about an iran hostage crisis. the family comedy, "here comes the boom"...
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we have new maris polls and they show romney's post debate bump is much less than feared. the race has tightened. the advantage remains with the president. so far we'll talk to obama's deputy campaign manager stephanie cutter and kentucky governor to talk about the state of the race. >>> plus -- some on the right deny facts and throw their dirty conspiracy theories out there. >>> also, meet the other man running against paul ryan. the democrat trying to win ryan's congressional seat joins us later. >>> let me finish tonight with that same old fashioned dirt we're seeing out here. this is "hardball," the place for politics, live from noisy danville, kentucky, the site of the vice presidential debate. >> i may not answer the questions the way you or the moderator want to speak but i am going to talk straight to the american people and let them know my track record also. altima and reimagined nearly everything in it? gave it greater horsepower and best in class 38 mpg highway... advanced headlights... and zero gravity seats? yeah, that would be cool. ♪ introducing the compl
we have new maris polls and they show romney's post debate bump is much less than feared. the race has tightened. the advantage remains with the president. so far we'll talk to obama's deputy campaign manager stephanie cutter and kentucky governor to talk about the state of the race. >>> plus -- some on the right deny facts and throw their dirty conspiracy theories out there. >>> also, meet the other man running against paul ryan. the democrat trying to win ryan's...
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the nbc news/marist poll october 3rd, romney, 42%, unfavorables 51%. now favorables are 44%, unfavorables 50%. that's within margin of error. effective i will no change, was surprising given the debate performance. >> the data are very clear, national data and individual state level data that we're seeing. and there has been movement. the race has changed and it is much more competitive than it was ten days ago, much more competitive. now the movement in ohio, the romney movement has been weaker than it was nationally or in places like virginia, florida, or colorado. and i think part of that is the obama campaign did a very good job early on airing ads early, focusing on ohio and delivering a message and defining mitt romney. they did not do that as well in the other states and frankly some of the other states have a more fundamental republican bend. it's true, the early obama ads about romney defining him, his wealth, i think it worked. the romney folks have a longer way to go. i should point out, alex, that it is possible, i mean, our newsletter has
the nbc news/marist poll october 3rd, romney, 42%, unfavorables 51%. now favorables are 44%, unfavorables 50%. that's within margin of error. effective i will no change, was surprising given the debate performance. >> the data are very clear, national data and individual state level data that we're seeing. and there has been movement. the race has changed and it is much more competitive than it was ten days ago, much more competitive. now the movement in ohio, the romney movement has been...
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to a "new york times"/cbs poll, mitt romney leads the president by one point in colorado. last month the president was up one point in that state. in virginia, president obama's lead from last month grew slightly. he's now up 51%-46%. and in wisconsin, the candidates are within the margin of error after the president lost a point from last month and mitt romney gained two. in all three battleground states, voters by double digits believe the economy is getting better compared to the numbers back in july. >> and mark halperin, that may be the big takeaway from this poll. the race is getting much closer. nobody can predict what's going to happen. if you look at a big friend, thoug trend, you've got to look at a lot of americans in these swing states are looking at the economy saying things are getting better. >> it's clearly a huge factor and yet, obviously, the debate from denver is also a huge factor. i think, you know, we look a lot at the margin of error, and these numbers aren't shifting all that much. what's key is in a lot of the states the president is below 50. that
to a "new york times"/cbs poll, mitt romney leads the president by one point in colorado. last month the president was up one point in that state. in virginia, president obama's lead from last month grew slightly. he's now up 51%-46%. and in wisconsin, the candidates are within the margin of error after the president lost a point from last month and mitt romney gained two. in all three battleground states, voters by double digits believe the economy is getting better compared to the...
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romney watching from his hotel in north carolina. the president watched returning from florida on air force one and made sure to congratulate his number two when he arrived home. >> i thought joe biden was terrif terrific tonight. i could not be more proud. i thought he made a strong case. >> today the campaigning continues. biden is in wisconsin and mitt romney is virginia before heading to ohio to meet up with paul ryan. let's get the reactions from both sides. cheering vice president biden, the happy warrior after his aggressive performance one that republicans are describing as condescending and disrespectful. look how the new york post put it. the contrast wasn't just between biden and ryan but between biden and president obama. the cover, vote for joe, vp shows obama how to debate. inside, smirky biden upstages his boss. with me, former ohio governor and former democratic ted strickland. did he show up the boss? >> no, but he showed up paul ryan and that's what i think is was important. he showed a lot of heart. joe biden in my
romney watching from his hotel in north carolina. the president watched returning from florida on air force one and made sure to congratulate his number two when he arrived home. >> i thought joe biden was terrif terrific tonight. i could not be more proud. i thought he made a strong case. >> today the campaigning continues. biden is in wisconsin and mitt romney is virginia before heading to ohio to meet up with paul ryan. let's get the reactions from both sides. cheering vice...
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romney got helped. the race got closer. >> we also had a conservative ideological advantage of conservative in the exit polls. what do you tell folks that look at those numbers? >> this tells you you can't weight your data by party idea. we've said it a million times during the campaign. there's national polls. they had a 15-point swing in party i.d. in two weeks. you get into a problem when they start doing that. what we're seeing is in ohio the effects of the early voting. those people are democratic, and they aren't likely voters, they're definite voters, and that's what's pulling these numbers. >> lee miringhoff, director of the marist poll. always good to see you. we'll see you in a few weeks. >>> vice president biden says he's anticipating a chance to draw a clear contract with the republican proposals at tonight's debate. joining me now, kentucky's democratic governor steve beshear. thanks for being here. >> thanks for coming to the commonwealth of kentucky. >> we love kentucky. as a democrat, yo
romney got helped. the race got closer. >> we also had a conservative ideological advantage of conservative in the exit polls. what do you tell folks that look at those numbers? >> this tells you you can't weight your data by party idea. we've said it a million times during the campaign. there's national polls. they had a 15-point swing in party i.d. in two weeks. you get into a problem when they start doing that. what we're seeing is in ohio the effects of the early voting. those...
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i think you're going to see sort of a national debut for paul ryan for -- we just showed a poll about how people don't know who he is. this is a chance for for them to put him there with mitt romney and relaunch the entire romney campaign. >> interesting you bring that up. i'll discuss this with you ladies. you talk about the fact they don't know him so well and talk about marco rubio, a hot topic at the beginning. his name faded away as if the lessons learned from the last go-around and having somebody relatively inexperienced. paul ryan, experienced certainly in the house, but from the national perspective, what do we know about his ability to run on the campaign trail and be someone who will weather that well? >> you don't know until you actually do it. that's part of the decision-making and the fact is paul ryan was under a national spotlight when he released his budget. we've seen he can handle the questions and knows how to defend the most significant issue he's ever dealt with nationally. so he's there and he can do that. i don't think he's going to have that much of a transiti
i think you're going to see sort of a national debut for paul ryan for -- we just showed a poll about how people don't know who he is. this is a chance for for them to put him there with mitt romney and relaunch the entire romney campaign. >> interesting you bring that up. i'll discuss this with you ladies. you talk about the fact they don't know him so well and talk about marco rubio, a hot topic at the beginning. his name faded away as if the lessons learned from the last go-around and...
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that indicate a closing of the gender gap with mitt romney running better now in the polls anyway with women? >> i've seen different polls. i think polls are all over the map right now. i do this this is what women were needing to hear tonight. what are the differences on particular issues. i actually think what we'll see after this is, again, this gender gap that's been very strong in favor of the president. i think we'll continue to see it to grow. >> thanks for joining us tonight. >> good to see you. >> rachel, back to you. >> thank you, lawrence. there's been a snap poll in terms of results from tonight's debate. cbs news did a flash poll of uncommitted voters on who they think won tonight's debate. 19% of those voters said the debate was a tie. 31% say that paul ryan won. 50% say that vice president biden won. we're going to be joined in a moment -- we've talked to a couple of people who are functioning as surrogates for the obama campaign tonight. we're going to be speaking with a supporter of ryan and romney in just a moment, congresswoman marsha blackburn in a moment. while we
that indicate a closing of the gender gap with mitt romney running better now in the polls anyway with women? >> i've seen different polls. i think polls are all over the map right now. i do this this is what women were needing to hear tonight. what are the differences on particular issues. i actually think what we'll see after this is, again, this gender gap that's been very strong in favor of the president. i think we'll continue to see it to grow. >> thanks for joining us...